Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-2 Eintracht Hohkeppel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Hohkeppel EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.26/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.49
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Eintracht Hohkeppel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Hohkeppel squeezed past Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Eintracht Hohkeppel made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 1-2 Eintracht Hohkeppel in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Eintracht Hohkeppel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 39%, draw 28%, Eintracht Hohkeppel 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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