Rödinghausen 2-3 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Oct 2024

Rödinghausen
2-3 HT 1-0
Sportfreunde Lotte
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rödinghausen v Sportfreunde Lotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.71/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.50
+6% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rödinghausen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
The Meetings
09.04.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
01.04.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
31.10.2020 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-2 HT 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
08.02.2020 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
04.09.2015 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte nicked a narrow win over Rödinghausen 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rödinghausen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rödinghausen and 0.67 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Rödinghausen 2-3 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rödinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rödinghausen 42%, draw 25%, Sportfreunde Lotte 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rödinghausen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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