Uerdingen 3-1 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 12 Oct 2024

Uerdingen
3-1
Paderborn 07 II
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Uerdingen vs Paderborn 07 II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uerdingen v Paderborn 07 II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uerdingen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 50%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.38/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.79/2.01
+0% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Uerdingen vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uerdingen got the better of Paderborn 07 II 3-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Uerdingen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Uerdingen vs Paderborn 07 II?

Uerdingen 3-1 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uerdingen vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uerdingen 31%, draw 30%, Paderborn 07 II 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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