Baranovichi 3-2 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+10.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 60%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.04/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.49
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +120%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
04.09.2021 Baranovichi Baranovichi 3-3 HT 0-2 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
18.06.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baranovichi
3-2
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi squeezed past FC Volna Pinsk 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Baranovichi had 43% of the ball to FC Volna Pinsk's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baranovichi and 2.00 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Baranovichi 3-2 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 32%, draw 20%, FC Volna Pinsk 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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