Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 Slonim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Slonim EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.65/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.69
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slonim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2024 Slonim Slonim 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
11.11.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 Slonim Slonim BLR1
08.07.2023 Slonim Slonim 1-2 HT 0-2 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
11.09.2021 Slonim Slonim 2-2 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
27.06.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 4-1 HT 2-0 Slonim Slonim BLR1
28.06.2020 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Slonim Slonim BLR1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs Slonim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel nicked a narrow win over Slonim 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotiv Gomel as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Gomel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 0.83 for Slonim.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs Slonim?

Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 Slonim in the Belarus - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs Slonim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 44%, draw 28%, Slonim 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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