Ostrovets FC 2-2 Belshina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
16.01
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
4%
+13.2pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.7pp
62%
Away Win
80%
-18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Belshina EU Bookmakers 84%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.01/1.73
+125% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -49%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ostrovets FC
2-2
AWAY Belshina
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs Belshina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC and Belshina couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Belshina at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Ostrovets FC had 32% of the ball to Belshina's 68%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs Belshina?

Ostrovets FC 2-2 Belshina in the Belarus - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs Belshina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belshina win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 17%, draw 21%, Belshina 62%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belshina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belshina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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