VIFK Vaasa 2-1 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
3.14
Over
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
66%
1.33
No
34%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
14%
7.79
2-3
40%
2.29
4-5
35%
2.4
6+
11%
4.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
71%
-5.4pp
34%
BTTS No
29%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +95%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
368 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VIFK Vaasa
1W-0D-3L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
20.06.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-1 HT 2-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİN2
13.04.2024 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 0-4 HT 0-4 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN2
02.09.2023 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 2-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
10.06.2023 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-0 HT 1-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
POST-MATCH VIFK Vaasa vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VIFK Vaasa nicked a narrow win over KuPS Ak. 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; VIFK Vaasa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, KuPS Ak. led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for VIFK Vaasa and 2.00 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of VIFK Vaasa vs KuPS Ak.?

VIFK Vaasa 2-1 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VIFK Vaasa vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a VIFK Vaasa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split VIFK Vaasa 38%, draw 25%, KuPS Ak. 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VIFK Vaasa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VIFK Vaasa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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