İspanya U19 3-2 Norveç U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.07
Over
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.94
2-3
36%
1.84
4-5
29%
3.14
6+
8%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.94 — our 27% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
İspanya U19 win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya U19 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Norveç U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+102% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya U19
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Norveç U19
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.23 xG 0.09
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
681 Passes 313
93% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 5-0 HT 4-0 Norveç U19 Norveç U19 HU19
10.07.2023 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 0-0 HT 0-0 Norveç U19 Norveç U19 U19
27.03.2017 Norveç U19 Norveç U19 0-2 HT 0-1 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya U19
3-2
AWAY Norveç U19
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH İspanya U19 vs Norveç U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya U19 nicked a narrow win over Norveç U19 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya U19 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, İspanya U19 had 57% of the ball to Norveç U19's 43%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İspanya U19 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İspanya U19 and 0.00 for Norveç U19.

What was the final score of İspanya U19 vs Norveç U19?

İspanya U19 3-2 Norveç U19 in the Friendlies on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya U19 vs Norveç U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İspanya U19 53%, draw 25%, Norveç U19 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya U19) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya U19)
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