Romanya U19 2-0 Almanya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.38
Over
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No Pick
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
31%
4.96
2-3
36%
1.95
4-5
21%
2.77
6+
12%
7.32
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.96 — our 31% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U19 EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
297 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 506 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Almanya U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 Almanya U19 Almanya U19 2-3 HT 1-2 Romanya U19 Romanya U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya U19
2-0
AWAY Almanya U19
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Romanya U19 vs Almanya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U19 beat Almanya U19 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Almanya U19 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Romanya U19 had 37% of the ball to Almanya U19's 63%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Romanya U19 vs Almanya U19?

Romanya U19 2-0 Almanya U19 in the Friendlies on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya U19 vs Almanya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Romanya U19 23%, draw 25%, Almanya U19 51%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almanya U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almanya U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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