Bilje 0-4 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bilje EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.27/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.99
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bilje
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Triglav
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.04.2024 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
21.09.2023 Bilje 1-1 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
13.11.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-1 HT 0-0 Bilje SLVN2
31.07.2022 Bilje 2-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
04.05.2022 Bilje 0-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
15.10.2021 Triglav Triglav 3-0 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
POST-MATCH Bilje vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav swept aside Bilje 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bilje and 1.00 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Bilje vs Triglav?

Bilje 0-4 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bilje vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bilje 24%, draw 28%, Triglav 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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