Dravinja 0-3 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dravinja EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 42%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.38/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/0.99
-9% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dravinja
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Gorica
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Dravinja Dravinja 0-1 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
02.09.2023 Gorica Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Dravinja Dravinja SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dravinja
0-3
AWAY Gorica
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Dravinja vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica ran out comfortable winners over Dravinja 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dravinja had 48% of the ball to Gorica's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Dravinja and 2.00 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Dravinja vs Gorica?

Dravinja 0-3 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dravinja vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dravinja 28%, draw 31%, Gorica 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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