Finlandiya U19 5-0 San Marino U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
21%
1.0
Over Pick
79%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1
12%
2-3
29%
4-5
34%
6+
25%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
23%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 79%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
84%
-14.1pp
13%
Draw
8%
+5.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finlandiya U19 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marino U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
380 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finlandiya U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY San Marino U19
8.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
76% Ball Possession 24%
25 Total Shots 1
13 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
17.10.2023 San Marino U19 San Marino U19 0-8 HT 0-4 Finlandiya U19 Finlandiya U19 U19
POST-MATCH Finlandiya U19 vs San Marino U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finlandiya U19 cruised past San Marino U19 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Finlandiya U19 as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (79%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Finlandiya U19 vs San Marino U19?

Finlandiya U19 5-0 San Marino U19 in the European U19 on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finlandiya U19 vs San Marino U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finlandiya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya U19 70%, draw 13%, San Marino U19 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finlandiya U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Finlandiya U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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