Letonya U19 2-3 Lüksemburg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.78
Over
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No Pick
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya U19 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg U19 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya U19
2-3
AWAY Lüksemburg U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Letonya U19 vs Lüksemburg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg U19 nicked a narrow win over Letonya U19 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Letonya U19 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Letonya U19 had 48% of the ball to Lüksemburg U19's 52%, shots finished 14-16.

What was the final score of Letonya U19 vs Lüksemburg U19?

Letonya U19 2-3 Lüksemburg U19 in the European U19 on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya U19 vs Lüksemburg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Letonya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Letonya U19 41%, draw 25%, Lüksemburg U19 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Letonya U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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