Polonya U19 4-0 Cebelitarık U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
18%
1.0
Over Pick
82%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Total Goals
0-1
10%
2-3
27%
4-5
35%
6+
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
24%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 82%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
84%
-12.0pp
12%
Draw
8%
+4.2pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya U19 EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Cebelitarık U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.07/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.93
+13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
380 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 186 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya U19
4-0
AWAY Cebelitarık U19
75% Ball Possession 25%
33 Total Shots 0
12 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonya U19 vs Cebelitarık U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya U19 ran out comfortable winners over Cebelitarık U19 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Polonya U19 as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (82%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

On the day, Polonya U19 had 75% of the ball to Cebelitarık U19's 25%, shots finished 33-0.

What was the final score of Polonya U19 vs Cebelitarık U19?

Polonya U19 4-0 Cebelitarık U19 in the European U19 on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya U19 vs Cebelitarık U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Polonya U19 72%, draw 12%, Cebelitarık U19 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonya U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonya U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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