RSD Alcala 1-0 Quintanar del Rey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSD Alcala EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Quintanar del Rey EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-24% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSD Alcala
1-0
AWAY Quintanar del Rey
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RSD Alcala vs Quintanar del Rey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSD Alcala nicked a narrow win over Quintanar del Rey 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RSD Alcala as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, RSD Alcala had 47% of the ball to Quintanar del Rey's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of RSD Alcala vs Quintanar del Rey?

RSD Alcala 1-0 Quintanar del Rey in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSD Alcala vs Quintanar del Rey?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSD Alcala win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RSD Alcala 42%, draw 28%, Quintanar del Rey 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RSD Alcala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RSD Alcala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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