Real Jaen 1-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Oct 2025

Real Jaen
1-1 HT 1-0
Melilla
📅12/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2025/2026

Real Jaen vs Melilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Jaen v Melilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.27
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
POST-MATCH Real Jaen vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Jaen and Melilla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Real Jaen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Real Jaen vs Melilla?

Real Jaen 1-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Jaen vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Jaen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Jaen 44%, draw 28%, Melilla 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Jaen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Jaen) ✓ Under 2.5
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