Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.3pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.50/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.42
+12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
27.10.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
09.06.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-0 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
29.04.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
14.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
10.09.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros edged past Deportivo Maipu 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.67 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Maipu?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 56%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maipu 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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