Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.58/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.36
+18% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
10.09.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-0 HT 2-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
29.04.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
14.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
10.09.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
30.04.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros squeezed past Deportivo Maipu 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 0.67 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Maipu?

Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 51%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maipu 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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