Banfield 1-3 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.77
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.25
X/1
14%
5.09
X/2
10%
5.78
X/X
11%
3.7
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
4.56
2/X
6%
14.55
Value flag · 1/X at 14.25 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banfield EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.28
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.1 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banfield
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Club
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2025 Racing Club Racing Club 4-1 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
27.10.2024 Banfield Banfield 2-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
04.06.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-0 HT 1-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
19.08.2022 Banfield Banfield 0-2 HT 0-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
30.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
06.09.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banfield
1-3
AWAY Racing Club
1.50 xG 2.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
181 Passes 318
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Banfield vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club got the better of Banfield 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Racing Club found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banfield had 41% of the ball to Racing Club's 59%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.50 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banfield and 1.67 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Banfield vs Racing Club?

Banfield 1-3 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banfield vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banfield win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Banfield 37%, draw 28%, Racing Club 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Banfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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