Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.24
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.18
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
12%
6.74
X/X
13%
3.66
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
13%
5.65
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.40/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.42
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
25.1 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
203 Passes 253
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-2 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
26.07.2024 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
30.01.2024 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
29.08.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
11.03.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
11.08.2015 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.32 xG 0.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
286 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Instituto Cordoba got the better of Atletico Tucuman 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Instituto Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 46% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 54%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.32 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.83 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Instituto Cordoba 2-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Instituto Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 42%, draw 28%, Atletico Tucuman 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Instituto Cordoba), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Instituto Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5
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