İskoçya 2-1 Belarus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
9%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.44
No
42%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.35
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
32%
2.59
6+ Goals
10%
6.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.23
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
23%
3.73
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
11%
10.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
28.5
2/2
3%
35.0
2/X
4%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 16% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.2pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.2pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
37%
+21.2pp
42%
BTTS No
63%
-21.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskoçya EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Belarus EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.78/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/3.21
-17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -48%
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
480 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
23.0 Crosses 12.8
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskoçya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Belarus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.15 xG 0.36
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
673 Passes 187
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2025 Belarus Belarus 0-2 HT 0-1 İskoçya İskoçya DKE
08.10.2005 İskoçya İskoçya 0-1 HT 0-1 Belarus Belarus DKE
08.06.2005 Belarus Belarus 0-0 HT 0-0 İskoçya İskoçya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskoçya
2-1
AWAY Belarus
1.22 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
399 Passes 326
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İskoçya vs Belarus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskoçya squeezed past Belarus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İskoçya as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, İskoçya had 55% of the ball to Belarus's 45%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.22 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İskoçya and 0.33 for Belarus.

What was the final score of İskoçya vs Belarus?

İskoçya 2-1 Belarus in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskoçya vs Belarus?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskoçya win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split İskoçya 70%, draw 21%, Belarus 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İskoçya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İskoçya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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