San Marino 0-4 Güney Kıbrıs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
7%
12.23
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
79%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.53
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
46%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
30.0
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
3%
29.5
X/2
30%
3.54
X/X
7%
8.31
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
40%
1.33
2/X
4%
30.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
6%
+1.5pp
13%
Draw
15%
-1.2pp
79%
Away Win
80%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.4pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.3pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marino EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs EU Bookmakers 84%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.29/4.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-36% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -64%
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
195 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 555 · 87%
4.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
6.6 Crosses 26.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Marino
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.26 xG 3.24
26% Ball Possession 74%
2 Total Shots 29
1 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 11
157 Passes 599
66% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 48
4 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.03.2025 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 2-0 HT 0-0 San Marino San Marino DKE
09.09.2019 San Marino San Marino 0-4 HT 0-2 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs AVŞE
21.03.2019 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 5-0 HT 4-0 San Marino San Marino AVŞE
12.09.2007 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs 3-0 HT 2-0 San Marino San Marino AVR
22.08.2007 San Marino San Marino 0-1 HT 0-0 Güney Kıbrıs Güney Kıbrıs AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Marino
0-4
AWAY Güney Kıbrıs
1.05 xG 3.49
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
181 Passes 524
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
3 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Marino vs Güney Kıbrıs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kıbrıs ran out comfortable winners over San Marino 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Güney Kıbrıs as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (67%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, San Marino had 29% of the ball to Güney Kıbrıs's 71%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 1.05 to 3.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Güney Kıbrıs led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for San Marino and 3.00 for Güney Kıbrıs.

What was the final score of San Marino vs Güney Kıbrıs?

San Marino 0-4 Güney Kıbrıs in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marino vs Güney Kıbrıs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kıbrıs win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split San Marino 7%, draw 13%, Güney Kıbrıs 79%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kıbrıs), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kıbrıs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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