Danimarka 3-1 Yunanistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.19
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
20%
4.15
X/2
4%
10.1
X/X
9%
4.59
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.59
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
56%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.18/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.54
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
316 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
12.1 Crosses 11.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Yunanistan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.94 xG 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
498 Passes 369
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2025 Yunanistan Yunanistan 0-3 HT 0-1 Danimarka Danimarka DKE
11.02.2009 Yunanistan Yunanistan 1-1 HT 0-0 Danimarka Danimarka HAZ
08.10.2005 Danimarka Danimarka 1-0 HT 1-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan DKE
09.02.2005 Yunanistan Yunanistan 2-1 HT 2-1 Danimarka Danimarka DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka
3-1
AWAY Yunanistan
1.23 xG 1.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
424 Passes 475
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danimarka vs Yunanistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka got the better of Yunanistan 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Danimarka as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Danimarka had 47% of the ball to Yunanistan's 53%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.23 to 1.74 — on chances, Yunanistan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Danimarka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Danimarka and 0.75 for Yunanistan.

What was the final score of Danimarka vs Yunanistan?

Danimarka 3-1 Yunanistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka vs Yunanistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Danimarka 60%, draw 25%, Yunanistan 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danimarka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danimarka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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