Mısır 1-0 Gine Bissau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.29
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.81
No
57%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
73%
+2.3pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.1pp
9%
Away Win
9%
-0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.4pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mısır EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Gine Bissau EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.19/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.71
-13% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mısır
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gine Bissau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.14 xG 0.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
368 Passes 219
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 3
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.06.2024 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau 1-1 HT 1-0 Mısır Mısır DKE
15.01.2022 Gine Bissau Gine Bissau 0-1 HT 0-0 Mısır Mısır AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mısır
1-0
AWAY Gine Bissau
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mısır vs Gine Bissau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır edged past Gine Bissau 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mısır had 46% of the ball to Gine Bissau's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mısır had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mısır and 0.50 for Gine Bissau.

What was the final score of Mısır vs Gine Bissau?

Mısır 1-0 Gine Bissau in the World Cup Qualifiers on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mısır vs Gine Bissau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Mısır 76%, draw 16%, Gine Bissau 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mısır) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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