America de Cali vs La Equidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America de Cali v La Equidad — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs La Equidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
America de Cali
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
La Equidad
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
La Equidad
KOL
America de Cali 3-2 La Equidad — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali nicked a narrow win over La Equidad 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America de Cali had 69% of the ball to La Equidad's 31%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.74 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold America de Cali's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for La Equidad.
What was the final score of America de Cali vs La Equidad?
America de Cali 3-2 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America de Cali vs La Equidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 67%, draw 20%, La Equidad 13%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.