Santa Fe 1-3 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.37/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.38
+10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
20.0 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Llaneros
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.42 xG 1.13
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
153 Passes 387
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2025 Llaneros Llaneros 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.07.2014 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-3
AWAY Llaneros
1.37 xG 0.88
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
399 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros beat Santa Fe 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Santa Fe at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 63% of the ball to Llaneros's 37%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.37 to 0.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Santa Fe.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 0.00 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Llaneros?

Santa Fe 1-3 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 61%, draw 22%, Llaneros 17%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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