Alianza Atletico 1-0 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
34%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.6pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.64/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.04
-16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
22.3 Crosses 12.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
157 Passes 263
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 Cultural San Cultural San 1-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
28.10.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-0 HT 1-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
19.05.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-0
AWAY Cultural San
0.80 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
194 Passes 162
68% Pass Accuracy 60%
18 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico nicked a narrow win over Cultural San 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 53% of the ball to Cultural San's 47%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.00 for Cultural San.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Cultural San?

Alianza Atletico 1-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 65%, draw 20%, Cultural San 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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PER More Peru - Premier League
12 Oct 2025
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