Juventud 1-2 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 22%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
2.18/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.22
+34% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-0D-2L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
14.04.2025 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
27.11.2019 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventud Juventud URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
1-2
AWAY CA River Plate
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventud vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA River Plate edged past Juventud 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juventud at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Juventud had 57% of the ball to CA River Plate's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Juventud and 1.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Juventud vs CA River Plate?

Juventud 1-2 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventud 50%, draw 25%, CA River Plate 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventud), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventud) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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