Miramar Misiones 2-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
60%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.33/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.74
-61% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
13.04.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 4-2 HT 2-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.09.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 1-2 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
25.02.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
2-2
AWAY CA Penarol
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones and CA Penarol couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. CA Penarol carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 38% of the ball to CA Penarol's 62%, shots finished 6-21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Miramar Misiones and 2.67 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol?

Miramar Misiones 2-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 18%, draw 22%, CA Penarol 61%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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