Danubio 0-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 12 Oct 2025

📅12/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.82/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.72
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional de Football
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-2 HT 2-1 Danubio Danubio URU
13.04.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
28.11.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
13.07.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-6 HT 0-3 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
26.05.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
16.11.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-3 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
0-0
AWAY Nacional de Football
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Nacional de Football played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Danubio had 52% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 48%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 2.17 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Nacional de Football?

Danubio 0-0 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 12/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Danubio 19%, draw 21%, Nacional de Football 59%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ BTTS No
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