Nacional de Football vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Danubio
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 3-2 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Danubio 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 46% of the ball to Danubio's 54%, shots finished 12-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Danubio?
Nacional de Football 3-2 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 58%, draw 22%, Danubio 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.