Manchester City (K) 2-0 Hammarby (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 12 Nov 2024

📅12/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
28%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Manchester City (K) win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
85%
-17.2pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.7pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.65/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/5.84
-9% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -66%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
26.0 Crosses 8.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
2-0
AWAY Hammarby (K)
2.75 xG 0.56
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
620 Passes 166
89% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs Hammarby (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) got the better of Hammarby (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 74% of the ball to Hammarby (K)'s 26%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.75 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs Hammarby (K)?

Manchester City (K) 2-0 Hammarby (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs Hammarby (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 68%, draw 16%, Hammarby (K) 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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