Guabira 3-1 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.71/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.09
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
22.5 Crosses 11.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wilstermann
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.06 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
264 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
20.11.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
21.05.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 1-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
01.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
18.03.2022 Guabira Guabira 3-0 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann CSA
11.03.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 4-0 HT 2-0 Guabira Guabira CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-1
AWAY Wilstermann
1.18 xG 0.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
261 Passes 351
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 5
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira saw off Wilstermann 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Guabira had 44% of the ball to Wilstermann's 56%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.18 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guabira and 1.67 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Wilstermann?

Guabira 3-1 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guabira 50%, draw 23%, Wilstermann 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
12 Dec 2024
02:00 Aurora vs Royal Pari Analysis →
22:00 San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Independiente Petrolero Analysis →