Aurora 0-3 Royal Pari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.6pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+10.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.80/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.86
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
23.9 Crosses 11.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Royal Pari
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 0.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.04.2024 Royal Pari Royal Pari 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
21.03.2024 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 2-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
20.10.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
30.04.2023 Aurora Aurora 3-0 HT 1-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
19.08.2021 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
0-3
AWAY Royal Pari
2.08 xG 1.26
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
331 Passes 169
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 12
42 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Royal Pari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Pari cruised past Aurora 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Aurora at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Aurora had 64% of the ball to Royal Pari's 36%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.08 to 1.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aurora.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aurora and 0.83 for Royal Pari.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Royal Pari?

Aurora 0-3 Royal Pari in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Royal Pari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aurora 60%, draw 23%, Royal Pari 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aurora) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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