Aswan FC 1-0 Derot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.52
Over
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
51%
4-5
14%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aswan FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Derot EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.72/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+27% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Aswan FC vs Derot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aswan FC squeezed past Derot 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aswan FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Aswan FC vs Derot?

Aswan FC 1-0 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aswan FC vs Derot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aswan FC 53%, draw 30%, Derot 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aswan FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aswan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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