PSG (K) 2-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 12 Dec 2025

PSG (K)
2-2 HT 1-1
Montpellier (K)
📅12/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.33
Over 2.5
69%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
80%
-0.7pp
13%
Draw
13%
-0.1pp
7%
Away Win
7%
+0.9pp
31%
Under 2.5
39%
-7.6pp
69%
Over 2.5
61%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG (K) v Montpellier (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.76/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.35
+8% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.5 Crosses 12.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 0.72
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
502 Passes 192
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2025 PSG (K) PSG (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
21.09.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
24.03.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1

PSG (K) 2-2 Montpellier (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
2-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
2.72 xG 0.47
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
351 Passes 158
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) and Montpellier (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. PSG (K) carried 80% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, PSG (K) had 63% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 37%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 2.72 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSG (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for PSG (K) and 1.00 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

PSG (K) 2-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 80%, draw 13%, Montpellier (K) 7%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →