Bourj 2-1 Racing Beirut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 19%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.53/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.12
-27% / -72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourj
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Beirut
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
05.07.2025 Bourj 2-1 HT 1-0 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut LUBN
07.06.2025 Bourj 0-3 HT 0-3 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut LUBN
08.05.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-1 HT 0-0 Bourj LUBN
26.02.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-0 Bourj LUBN
02.03.2024 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 1-1 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Racing Beirut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj edged past Racing Beirut 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bourj as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Racing Beirut led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Bourj and 1.40 for Racing Beirut.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Racing Beirut?

Bourj 2-1 Racing Beirut in the Lebanon - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Racing Beirut?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bourj 61%, draw 26%, Racing Beirut 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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