Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1-1 HT 1-0
Dumbarton
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dumbarton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
13%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.28
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
16%
5.99
X/2
13%
4.91
X/X
15%
4.57
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
10%
3.24
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Dumbarton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.20/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.31
-8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dumbarton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dumbarton
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
4 Corners 9
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 4-0 HT 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
05.08.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
22.07.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İKLK
15.04.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
28.01.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 1-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
03.12.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and Dumbarton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.50 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-1 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 36%, draw 31%, Dumbarton 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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