Spartans 0-2 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

Spartans
0-2 HT 0-1
Stenhousemuir
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Spartans vs Stenhousemuir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.38
1/2
4%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.95
X/1
12%
5.7
X/2
10%
4.9
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
22%
3.55
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.38 — our 23% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spartans v Stenhousemuir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.35/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.47
+4% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Spartans vs Stenhousemuir Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
02.09.2023 Spartans Spartans 0-1 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir beat Spartans 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Stenhousemuir made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartans and 2.00 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Stenhousemuir?

Spartans 0-2 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartans 41%, draw 23%, Stenhousemuir 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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