Forfar Athletic 2-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

Forfar Athletic
2-1 HT 0-1
Elgin City
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 24% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.28
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
19%
4.02
X/2
7%
8.95
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
9%
7.0
2/X
7%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forfar Athletic v Elgin City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -20%
1.69/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.42
-17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
433 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Elgin City
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 1-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
15.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKCK
12.08.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
15.04.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 2-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
02.01.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
15.10.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forfar Athletic edged past Elgin City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forfar Athletic as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elgin City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Forfar Athletic and 0.67 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Forfar Athletic 2-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 51%, draw 28%, Elgin City 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forfar Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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