Club Brugge II 0-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

Club Brugge II
0-2 HT 0-1
Lommel United
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Club Brugge II vs Lommel United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
21%
4.02
2-3 Goals
47%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
9.04
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 21% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-11.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge II v Lommel United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.05/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.79
+20% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.3 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Club Brugge II vs Lommel United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lommel United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.63 xG 2.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
293 Passes 429
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
20.01.2023 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 2-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
15.10.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 3-4 HT 0-2 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
07.03.2021 Lommel United Lommel United 2-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2
18.12.2020 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II 0-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
08.11.2020 Lommel United Lommel United 3-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge II Club Brugge II BEL2

Club Brugge II 0-2 Lommel United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge II
0-2
AWAY Lommel United
0.55 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
429 Passes 535
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 55
17 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Club Brugge II vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United saw off Club Brugge II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Brugge II had 46% of the ball to Lommel United's 54%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.55 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge II and 2.00 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Club Brugge II vs Lommel United?

Club Brugge II 0-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge II vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge II 27%, draw 25%, Lommel United 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Under 2.5
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