Standard Liege II 1-4 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
12%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
56%
Away Win
70%
-13.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege II EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 75%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.02/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.02
-21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.2
17.6 Crosses 25.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 2.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 38
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
29.01.2023 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II 2-2 HT 1-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
10.09.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-1 Standard Liege II Standard Liege II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege II
1-4
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.50 xG 3.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 8
277 Passes 402
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 45
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Standard Liege II vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren swept aside Standard Liege II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Standard Liege II had 43% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 57%, shots finished 9-24, expected goals 0.50 to 3.96.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Standard Liege II and 2.00 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Standard Liege II vs Waasland-Beveren?

Standard Liege II 1-4 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege II vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege II 18%, draw 25%, Waasland-Beveren 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
13 Jan 2024
22:00 Lierse Kempenzonen vs Dender EH Analysis →
22:00 Club Brugge II vs Lommel United Analysis →