Atletico Gloriense 1-4 Sergipe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sergipano, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Gloriense The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sergipe The Market 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Gloriense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sergipe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.02.2023 Atletico Gloriense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sergipe Sergipe BRSER
POST-MATCH Atletico Gloriense vs Sergipe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sergipe swept aside Atletico Gloriense 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Sergipe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atletico Gloriense vs Sergipe?

Atletico Gloriense 1-4 Sergipe in the Brazil - Sergipano on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Gloriense vs Sergipe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Gloriense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Gloriense 39%, draw 28%, Sergipe 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Gloriense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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