Falcon vs Dorense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Falcon v Dorense — Team-Based Signals
Falcon vs Dorense Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Falcon 2-3 Dorense — Actual Match Statistics
Dorense edged past Falcon 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Dorense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Falcon had 55% of the ball to Dorense's 45%, shots finished 12-17.
What was the final score of Falcon vs Dorense?
Falcon 2-3 Dorense in the Brazil - Sergipano on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Falcon vs Dorense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Falcon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Falcon 36%, draw 29%, Dorense 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.