Confiança 3-1 Olimpico SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sergipano, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
45%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
55%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Confiança The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpico SE The Market 22%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Confiança
3-1
AWAY Olimpico SE
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Confiança vs Olimpico SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Confiança beat Olimpico SE 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Confiança as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Confiança had 59% of the ball to Olimpico SE's 41%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Confiança vs Olimpico SE?

Confiança 3-1 Olimpico SE in the Brazil - Sergipano on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Confiança vs Olimpico SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Confiança win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Confiança 50%, draw 22%, Olimpico SE 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Confiança), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Confiança) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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