Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

Casa Pia
0-2 HT 0-1
Famalicao
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Casa Pia vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.03
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
9%
5.32
X/2
13%
5.25
X/X
18%
3.73
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
10%
3.96
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.0pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.64/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.32
-34% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.8 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Casa Pia vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Famalicao
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.03.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-0 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
18.09.2022 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR

Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
0-2
AWAY Famalicao
0.44 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
374 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao saw off Casa Pia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Famalicao found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Casa Pia had 55% of the ball to Famalicao's 45%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.44 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Casa Pia and 0.50 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Famalicao?

Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 36%, draw 33%, Famalicao 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casa Pia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
13 Jan 2024
21:00 Chaves vs Sporting CP Analysis →
23:30 Estoril vs Moreirense Analysis →