Chaves 0-3 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

Chaves
0-3 HT 0-1
Sporting CP
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✓ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chaves vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
63%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
15.75
1/2
6%
22.6
1/X
5%
23.45
X/1
6%
19.95
X/2
26%
3.39
X/X
8%
7.86
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.48
2/X
5%
23.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.0pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.5pp
63%
Away Win
72%
-8.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 75%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.17/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.78
+42% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
249 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
17.7 Crosses 23.5
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Chaves vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting CP
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.87 xG 2.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
257 Passes 432
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.02.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
27.08.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0-2 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
30.03.2019 Chaves Chaves 1-3 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
11.11.2018 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
12.03.2018 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
22.10.2017 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-1 HT 3-0 Chaves Chaves POR

Chaves 0-3 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
0-3
AWAY Sporting CP
0.40 xG 2.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
285 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past Chaves 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Chaves had 49% of the ball to Sporting CP's 51%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.40 to 2.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 2.50 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Sporting CP?

Chaves 0-3 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chaves 19%, draw 18%, Sporting CP 63%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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