SS Monopoli 1-0 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Jan 2025

📅13/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.0
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.71
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-11.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.58
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-4 HT 1-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
10.08.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-2 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTCK
15.02.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-2 HT 2-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
08.10.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-2 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
15.03.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
13.11.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-0
AWAY Foggia Calcio
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 40% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 60%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.67 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Foggia Calcio?

SS Monopoli 1-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 49%, draw 25%, Foggia Calcio 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5
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