Foggia Calcio 1-2 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.03/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.74
+43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -49%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SS Monopoli
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-2 HT 2-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
08.10.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-2 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
15.03.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
13.11.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
19.02.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
17.10.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
1-2
AWAY SS Monopoli
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli edged past Foggia Calcio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Foggia Calcio at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 59% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 41%, shots finished 20-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Foggia Calcio and 0.67 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli?

Foggia Calcio 1-2 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 52%, draw 26%, SS Monopoli 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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