Foggia Calcio 3-2 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2024

Foggia Calcio
3-2 HT 2-1
SS Monopoli
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
5.11
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Foggia Calcio v SS Monopoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
5W-1D-0L
AWAY SS Monopoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-2 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
15.03.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
13.11.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-2 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
19.02.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
17.10.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
21.04.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC

Foggia Calcio 3-2 SS Monopoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
3-2
AWAY SS Monopoli
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio edged past SS Monopoli 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Foggia Calcio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 41% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 59%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Foggia Calcio and 0.33 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli?

Foggia Calcio 3-2 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 44%, draw 30%, SS Monopoli 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foggia Calcio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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